Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yemen vs Lebanon

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Jaber Al Mubarak Stadium, Kuwait
Yemen Logo

Yemen

0 - 0
FT
Lebanon Logo

Lebanon

Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Al Zubaidi H.
58'
Sub
Tneich A. In: Haidar M.
Out: Tneich A.
58'
Sub
Osman M. In: Mekkaoui K.
Out: Osman M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Yemen
15%
Draws
34%
Lebanon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yemen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lebanon lately — more wins on the board than Yemen.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Lebanon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Yemen, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Yemen Clean Sheet 17%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yemen Lebanon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.69 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Asian Cup
Lebanon vs Yemen
0:2
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Yemen vs Lebanon
0:0
Aug 8, 2019 WAFF Championship
Yemen vs Lebanon
2:1
Oct 16, 2012 Friendly International
Lebanon vs Yemen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yemen 31 / 100
Lebanon 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yemen Lebanon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Yemen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Lebanon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Yemen's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Yemen VS Lebanon
3.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yemen

(Home)
30 Sept
Bahrain
2 : 5
Yemen
27 Sept
Yemen
0 : 1
Qatar
24 Sept
United Arab Emirates
4 : 0
Yemen
18 Sept
Kuwait
1 : 2
Yemen
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
Page 1 of 6

Lebanon

(Away)
04 Oct
Kyrgyzstan
3 : 1
Lebanon
01 Oct
Maldives
0 : 6
Lebanon
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1
Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)