Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yenisey vs Chelyabinsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Tsentralnyi Stadion, Krasnoyarsk
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Batyrev A.
17'
Shershov N.
18' Event
Okladnikov A.

AI Match Summary

Yenisey in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yenisey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Yenisey
30%
Draws
37%
Chelyabinsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelyabinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yenisey lately — more wins on the board than Chelyabinsk.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 20%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yenisey Chelyabinsk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Yenisey
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 FNL
Yenisey vs Chelyabinsk
3:0
Oct 6, 2025 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Yenisey
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yenisey Compare

Top Goalscorer Okladnikov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazurin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Chelyabinsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yenisey 32 / 100
Chelyabinsk 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yenisey Chelyabinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelyabinsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelyabinsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Yenisey scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Yenisey has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yenisey VS Chelyabinsk
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Yenisey

(Home)
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2
Neftekhimik
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Chelyabinsk

(Away)
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1
Ufa
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2
Chelyabinsk
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 34 19 11 4 58:28 68
2 Fakel Voronezh 34 20 8 6 44:22 68
3 Ural 34 18 7 9 51:31 61
4 R. Volgograd 34 15 11 8 47:26 56
5 Kamaz 34 12 13 9 46:34 49
6 Yenisey 34 13 10 11 37:35 49
7 S. Kostroma 34 12 13 9 46:41 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 34 11 15 8 34:28 48
9 Torpedo Moscow 34 12 10 12 37:39 46
10 Chelyabinsk 34 10 14 10 42:40 44
11 Neftekhimik 34 10 13 11 40:41 43
12 SKA Khabarovsk 34 10 12 12 37:45 42
13 Arsenal Tula 34 8 15 11 42:44 39
14 Ulyanovsk 34 9 10 15 35:48 37
15 Ufa 34 9 10 15 32:40 37
16 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 34 9 8 17 37:49 35
17 Saratov 34 5 11 18 16:44 26
18 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 34 5 7 22 30:76 22
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