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Stadium Background

Yenisey vs Ulyanovsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Tsentralnyi Stadion, Krasnoyarsk
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yenisey host Ulyanovsk in the FNL. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Yenisey at 1.27 goals for, 1.37 against; Ulyanovsk at 1.07 for, 1.23 against. Head-to-head, Yenisey have won 2 to Ulyanovsk's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.75, favoring Yenisey. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Yenisey
20%
Draws
63%
Ulyanovsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ulyanovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Yenisey have won more games recently than Ulyanovsk.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Ulyanovsk taking it.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 12%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yenisey Ulyanovsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Yenisey
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 FNL
Yenisey vs Ulyanovsk
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Yenisey
2:4
Jun 3, 2023 FNL
Yenisey vs Ulyanovsk
0:0
Feb 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Yenisey vs Ulyanovsk
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yenisey 11 / 100
Ulyanovsk 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yenisey Ulyanovsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulyanovsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yenisey found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Ulyanovsk let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Yenisey went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yenisey VS Ulyanovsk
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yenisey

(Home)
04 Nov
Yenisey
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
31 Oct
Leningradets
3 : 0
Yenisey
24 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
3 : 0
Yenisey
17 Oct
Yenisey
1 : 2
Torpedo Moscow
14 Oct
Yenisey
2 : 0
Kaluga
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Ulyanovsk

(Away)
31 Oct
Ulyanovsk
1 : 1
Tekstilshtik
25 Oct
Ulyanovsk
1 : 0
Veles Moscow
18 Oct
SKA Khabarovsk
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
14 Oct
Ulyanovsk
1 : 0
FC Murom
10 Oct
R. Volgograd
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 16 14 1 1 48:15 43
2 PFC Sochi 16 10 2 4 26:17 32
3 Ural 16 9 4 3 27:11 31
4 Torpedo Moscow 16 8 5 3 28:13 29
5 S. Kostroma 16 8 4 4 22:16 28
6 Veles Moscow 17 8 4 5 21:20 28
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 16 5 8 3 20:17 23
8 Ulyanovsk 17 6 4 7 22:23 22
9 Ufa 16 5 7 4 18:15 22
10 R. Volgograd 16 5 5 6 23:18 20
11 Arsenal Tula 16 5 4 7 19:33 19
12 Chelyabinsk 16 5 3 8 21:26 18
13 Leningradets 16 4 5 7 15:26 17
14 Kamaz 16 3 5 8 20:28 14
15 Yenisey 16 3 5 8 16:33 14
16 SKA Khabarovsk 16 3 4 9 20:28 13
17 Neftekhimik 16 4 1 11 11:24 13
18 Tekstilshtik 16 2 5 9 12:26 11
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)