Sport Picks
Yeoju Citizen vs Busan Kyotong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South Korea
K3 League 
Match Events
38'
38'
Kang Min-Jae
65'
65'
Rabens J.
AI Match Summary
The K3 League game between Yeoju Citizen and Busan Kyotong finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yeoju Citizen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Busan Kyotong come out ahead of Yeoju Citizen on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Yeoju Citizen's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yeoju Citizen | Busan Kyotong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 K3-K4 League Cup
Yeoju Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
0:2
May 16, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
1:3
Mar 1, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Yeoju Citizen
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yeoju Citizen Compare
Top Goalscorer Kang Min-Jae
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Busan Kyotong Compare
Top Goalscorer Rabens J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yeoju Citizen 59 / 100
Busan Kyotong 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yeoju Citizen Busan Kyotong
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yeoju Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yeoju Citizen's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Busan Kyotong let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Busan Kyotong's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Yeoju Citizen VS Busan Kyotong
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Yeoju Citizen
(Home) 03 Oct
Yeoju Citizen
2 : 1 Jeonbuk 2
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1 Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0 Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0 Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2 Yeoju Citizen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Yeoju Citizen
2 : 1 Jeonbuk 2
29 Jul
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 1 Dangjin Citizen
14 Jun
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 2 Busan Kyotong
07 Jun
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 1 Siheung Citizen
31 May
Yeoju Citizen
1 : 0 Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 3
Busan Kyotong
(Away) 04 Oct
Mokpo
3 : 1 Busan Kyotong
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0 Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3 Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1 Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1 Busan Kyotong
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Mokpo
3 : 1 Busan Kyotong
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3 Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1 Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1 Busan Kyotong
26 Jul
Yangpyeong
2 : 4 Busan Kyotong
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 37:20 | 55 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 38:19 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 33:18 | 41 |
| 4 | Busan Kyotong | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 40:29 | 37 |
| 5 | Gyeongju KHNP | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35:31 | 35 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 46:39 | 31 |
| 7 | Chuncheon | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | 30 |
| 8 | Changwon | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | 29 |
| 9 | Yeoju Citizen | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:29 | 28 |
| 10 | Ulsan Citizen | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 25:28 | 28 |
| 11 | Gangneung | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21:32 | 27 |
| 12 | Mokpo | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 22:36 | 24 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30:46 | 20 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk 2 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23:51 | 10 |
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)
