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Yeoju Citizen vs Chuncheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Shin K.
59'
Shin K.
81' Event
Kang Min-Jae

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Yeoju Citizen and Chuncheon finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yeoju Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Yeoju Citizen
15%
Draws
68%
Chuncheon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chuncheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yeoju Citizen come out ahead of Chuncheon on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chuncheon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 16%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeoju Citizen Chuncheon
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Yeoju Citizen
2:1
May 2, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Chuncheon
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Yeoju Citizen
1:2
Jun 8, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Chuncheon
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Chuncheon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang Min-Jae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chuncheon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeoju Citizen 23 / 100
Chuncheon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeoju Citizen Chuncheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chuncheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chuncheon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Yeoju Citizen found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Yeoju Citizen has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yeoju Citizen VS Chuncheon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeoju Citizen

(Home)
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
29 Jul
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 1
Dangjin Citizen
Page 1 of 7

Chuncheon

(Away)
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
26 Jul
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
6 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
7 Gyeongju KHNP 21 7 8 6 30:28 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 21 6 8 7 23:25 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)