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Stadium Background

Yeoju Citizen vs Chuncheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Shin K.
59'
Shin K.
81' Event
Kang Min-Jae

AI Match Summary

Yeoju Citizen host Chuncheon in the K3 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Chuncheon have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while Yeoju Citizen have conceded 1 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Yeoju Citizen have won 4 to Chuncheon's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.75) point toward Yeoju Citizen. Yeoju Citizen in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Yeoju Citizen
28%
Draws
22%
Chuncheon
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Yeoju Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Yeoju Citizen has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Chuncheon.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Yeoju Citizen.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in K3 League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeoju Citizen Chuncheon
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 1 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Chuncheon
1:0
Oct 3, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Yeoju Citizen
1:2
Jun 8, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Chuncheon
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Chuncheon
1:0
Apr 6, 2024 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Yeoju Citizen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang Min-Jae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chuncheon Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeoju Citizen 59 / 100
Chuncheon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeoju Citizen Chuncheon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeoju Citizen scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Chuncheon let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Yeoju Citizen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chuncheon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yeoju Citizen VS Chuncheon
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409