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Yeoju Citizen vs Daejeon Korail - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kang Min-Jae

AI Match Summary

Yeoju Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yeoju Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Yeoju Citizen
15%
Draws
51%
Daejeon Korail
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Daejeon Korail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Daejeon Korail lately — more wins on the board than Yeoju Citizen.
  • Win probability leans Yeoju Citizen's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeoju Citizen Daejeon Korail
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Yeoju Citizen
3:3
May 9, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
0:3
Sep 15, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
2:2
May 17, 2024 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Yeoju Citizen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang Min-Jae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Daejeon Korail Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeoju Citizen 36 / 100
Daejeon Korail 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeoju Citizen Daejeon Korail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Yeoju Citizen scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Daejeon Korail's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Yeoju Citizen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yeoju Citizen VS Daejeon Korail
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeoju Citizen

(Home)
03 Oct
Yeoju Citizen
2 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Daejeon Korail

(Away)
02 Oct
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Gangneung
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 23 8 4 11 24:26 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 23 3 8 12 28:45 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)