Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yeoju Citizen vs Dangjin Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kim D.
38' Event
Ji Sang-Wook
70'
Han C.

AI Match Summary

Yeoju Citizen host Dangjin Citizen in the K3 League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Yeoju Citizen have averaged 1.13 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Dangjin Citizen's 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Yeoju Citizen slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back Yeoju Citizen to edge this. Yeoju Citizen in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Yeoju Citizen
33%
Draws
40%
Dangjin Citizen
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dangjin Citizen demonstrates higher offensive output (1.75 avg goals) than Yeoju Citizen (1.13 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Dangjin Citizen.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in K3 League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 17%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeoju Citizen Dangjin Citizen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Dangjin Citizen
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyeong W. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ji Sang-Wook
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeoju Citizen 28 / 100
Dangjin Citizen 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeoju Citizen Dangjin Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeoju Citizen scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Dangjin Citizen let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Yeoju Citizen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dangjin Citizen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yeoju Citizen VS Dangjin Citizen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409