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Yeoju Citizen vs Pocheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lee S.
6' Event
Kang Min-Jae
28' Event
Park Jun-Beom

AI Match Summary

Pocheon in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pocheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Yeoju Citizen
40%
Draws
29%
Pocheon
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Yeoju Citizen haven't matched Pocheon's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 11%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeoju Citizen Pocheon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1 2.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Pocheon
3:4
Jul 26, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Pocheon
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Yeoju Citizen
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Pocheon
1:1
Jun 9, 2024 K3 League
Pocheon vs Yeoju Citizen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kang Min-Jae
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pocheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Jun-Beom
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yoo Sun-Woo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeoju Citizen 30 / 100
Pocheon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeoju Citizen Pocheon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeoju Citizen scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Pocheon conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Yeoju Citizen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yeoju Citizen VS Pocheon
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429