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Yeoju Citizen vs Pocheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lee S.
6' Event
Kang Min-Jae
28' Event
Park Jun-Beom

AI Match Summary

Pocheon in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pocheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Yeoju Citizen
15%
Draws
64%
Pocheon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pocheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Yeoju Citizen haven't matched Pocheon's recent run of results.
  • Pocheon are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 20%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeoju Citizen Pocheon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 K3 League
Pocheon vs Yeoju Citizen
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Pocheon
3:4
Jul 26, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Pocheon
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Yeoju Citizen
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Pocheon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kang Min-Jae
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Pocheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Jun-Beom
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yoo Sun-Woo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeoju Citizen 24 / 100
Pocheon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeoju Citizen Pocheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeoju Citizen scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Pocheon conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Yeoju Citizen stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yeoju Citizen VS Pocheon
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeoju Citizen

(Home)
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
29 Jul
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 1
Dangjin Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Pocheon

(Away)
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)