Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yeoju Citizen vs Siheung Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Kim Tae-Heon

AI Match Summary

Siheung Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siheung Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Yeoju Citizen
15%
Draws
61%
Siheung Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siheung Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siheung Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Yeoju Citizen.
  • Model gives Siheung Citizen a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Siheung Citizen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 18%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeoju Citizen Siheung Citizen
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 21
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.23 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.23 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Yeoju Citizen
2:1
Jul 20, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Yeoju Citizen
0:1
Jul 14, 2024 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Yeoju Citizen
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Siheung Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Tae-Heon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeoju Citizen 12 / 100
Siheung Citizen 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeoju Citizen Siheung Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siheung Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yeoju Citizen found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Siheung Citizen let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Yeoju Citizen has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yeoju Citizen VS Siheung Citizen
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeoju Citizen

(Home)
03 Oct
Yeoju Citizen
2 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
Page 1 of 7

Siheung Citizen

(Away)
03 Oct
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Siheung Citizen
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 23 8 4 11 24:26 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 23 3 8 12 28:45 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)