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Yeoju Citizen vs Yangpyeong

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lee S.
(Penalty)
81' Event
Lee D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Yeoju Citizen
39%
Draws
30%
Yangpyeong
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Yangpyeong at 1.38 per game, Yeoju Citizen at 0.75.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 19%
Yangpyeong Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeoju Citizen Yangpyeong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Yeoju Citizen
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Yangpyeong
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Yeoju Citizen
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Yangpyeong
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Yangpyeong
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeoju Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Yangpyeong Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeoju Citizen 32 / 100
Yangpyeong 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeoju Citizen Yangpyeong

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yeoju Citizen scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Yangpyeong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Yeoju Citizen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yeoju Citizen VS Yangpyeong
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409