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Yeovil vs Morecambe

England England

National League 2025/2026 Huish Park, Yeovil
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Blackman J.
Own Goal
34' Event
Edwards G.
Assist: Payne L.
36'
Payne L.

AI Match Summary

Yeovil in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yeovil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Yeovil
35%
Draws
32%
Morecambe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yeovil lately — more wins on the board than Morecambe.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Yeovil Clean Sheet 20%
Morecambe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yeovil Morecambe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 National League
Yeovil vs Morecambe
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 National League
Morecambe vs Yeovil
0:0
Mar 2, 2019 League Two
Yeovil vs Morecambe
3:2
Nov 3, 2018 League Two
Morecambe vs Yeovil
2:1
Dec 29, 2017 League Two
Morecambe vs Yeovil
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yeovil Compare

Top Goalscorer Daly J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Morecambe Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeovil 32 / 100
Morecambe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yeovil Morecambe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yeovil scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Morecambe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Yeovil stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yeovil VS Morecambe
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yeovil

(Home)
08 Aug
Scunthorpe
1 : 1
Yeovil
01 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 2
Newport
28 Jul
Farnham
1 : 1
Yeovil
25 Jul
Wycombe
3 : 2
Yeovil
18 Jul
Yeovil
1 : 0
Cardiff U21
Page 1 of 6

Morecambe

(Away)
08 Aug
Morecambe
1 : 1
Spennymoor
01 Aug
Morecambe
0 : 1
Barrow
28 Jul
Morecambe
1 : 1
AFC Fylde
18 Jul
Bamber Bridge
0 : 3
Morecambe
25 Apr
Forest Green
5 : 0
Morecambe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 York City 46 33 9 4 114:41 108
2 Rochdale 46 33 7 6 88:41 106
3 Carlisle 46 29 8 9 87:51 95
4 Boreham Wood 46 27 9 10 95:58 90
5 Scunthorpe 46 23 13 10 77:62 82
6 Southend 46 23 12 11 83:47 81
7 Forest Green 46 23 12 11 82:52 81
8 Halifax 46 20 10 16 69:66 70
9 Hartlepool 46 18 14 14 54:59 68
10 Woking 46 16 15 15 69:54 63
11 Tamworth 46 17 11 18 63:71 62
12 Boston United 46 15 14 17 63:67 59
13 Altrincham 46 17 6 23 55:65 57
14 Solihull Moors 46 14 14 18 71:72 56
15 Wealdstone 46 15 11 20 67:74 56
16 Yeovil 46 15 6 25 48:68 51
17 Eastleigh 46 13 11 22 57:80 50
18 Gateshead 46 14 8 24 54:90 50
19 Sutton 46 11 14 21 59:79 47
20 Aldershot 46 13 7 26 69:87 46
21 Brackley 46 10 12 24 40:75 42
22 Morecambe 46 9 11 26 66:103 38
23 Braintree 46 8 12 26 38:76 36
24 Truro 46 8 10 28 42:72 34
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)