Sport Picks
Match Events
61'
61'
Sub
McCoy-Splatt D. In: Greenslade H.
Out: McCoy-Splatt D.
65'
65'
Sub
Jarvis A. In: Matthews Lewis M.
Out: Jarvis A.
67'
67'
Sub
Wannell J. In: Ellison D.
Out: Wannell J.
AI Match Summary
The National League 2025/2026 game between Yeovil and Truro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yeovil.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
35%
50%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Truro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Truro carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Yeovil here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Yeovil Clean Sheet 19%
Truro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yeovil | Truro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 National League
Yeovil vs Truro
1:0
Dec 26, 2025 National League
Truro vs Yeovil
1:0
Apr 11, 2024 National League South
Truro vs Yeovil
0:2
Aug 15, 2023 National League South
Yeovil vs Truro
2:1
Jul 17, 2015 Club Friendly
Truro vs Yeovil
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yeovil Compare
Top Goalscorer Merry W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Truro Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yeovil 36 / 100
Truro 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yeovil Truro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Truro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yeovil found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Truro conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Yeovil stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Yeovil VS Truro
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Yeovil
(Home) 15 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 1 Carlisle
08 Aug
Scunthorpe
1 : 1 Yeovil
01 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 2 Newport
28 Jul
Farnham
1 : 1 Yeovil
25 Jul
Wycombe
3 : 2 Yeovil
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 1 Carlisle
01 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 2 Newport
18 Jul
Yeovil
1 : 0 Cardiff U21
25 Apr
Yeovil
1 : 4 Solihull Moors
11 Apr
Yeovil
0 : 0 Halifax
Page 1 of 3
Truro
(Away) 18 Aug
Truro
2 : 1 Southampton U21
15 Aug
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Truro
08 Aug
Truro
2 : 0 Maidenhead
25 Jul
Truro
0 : 1 Plymouth
18 Jul
Truro
1 : 0 Exeter
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Truro
25 Apr
Aldershot
0 : 2 Truro
11 Apr
Boston United
1 : 0 Truro
03 Apr
Yeovil
1 : 0 Truro
21 Mar
Sutton
0 : 3 Truro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York City | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 108 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 106 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 95 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 90 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 82 |
| 6 | Southend | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 81 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 81 |
| 8 | Halifax | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 70 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | 68 |
| 10 | Woking | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 63 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | 62 |
| 12 | Boston United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | 59 |
| 13 | Altrincham | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | 57 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | 56 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | 51 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | 50 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | 50 |
| 19 | Sutton | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | 47 |
| 20 | Aldershot | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | 42 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | 34 |
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
