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Yesil Bursa vs Bingol

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014
Sun, Apr 13, 2014
3 - 0
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yesil Bursa host Bingol in the TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014. Yesil Bursa are expected to control this from the start. Yesil Bursa have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.62 conceded recently, against Bingol's 0.07 scored and 3.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Yesil Bursa have won 2 to Bingol's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2014, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.38, favoring Yesil Bursa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Yesil Bursa
15%
Draws
0%
Bingol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yesil Bursa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yesil Bursa come out ahead of Bingol on wins alone.
  • Model gives Yesil Bursa a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Yesil Bursa Clean Sheet 17%
Bingol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yesil Bursa Bingol
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 8 0
Draws 7 0
Losses 22 29
Goals Scored 1.03 0.07
Goals Conceded 1.62 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2014 3. Lig Group 1
Yesil Bursa vs Bingol
3:0
Nov 24, 2013 3. Lig Group 1
Bingol vs Yesil Bursa
0:3
Apr 8, 2012 3. Lig Group 2
Bingol vs Yesil Bursa
0:0
Nov 27, 2011 3. Lig Group 2
Yesil Bursa vs Bingol
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yesil Bursa 84 / 100
Bingol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yesil Bursa Bingol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yesil Bursa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bingol let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

Bingol lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Yesil Bursa's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Yesil Bursa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Yesil Bursa

(Home)
05 May
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1 : 3
Yesil Bursa
29 Apr
Yesil Bursa
0 : 3
Bucaspor 1928
22 Apr
Golcukspor
2 : 1
Yesil Bursa
14 Apr
Yesil Bursa
0 : 1
Erokspor
07 Apr
Darica Genclerbirligi
5 : 0
Yesil Bursa
Page 1 of 8

Bingol

(Away)
04 May
Ankara Demirspor
3 : 0
Bingol
27 Apr
Bingol
0 : 3
Adiyamanspor
20 Apr
Umraniyespor
3 : 0
Bingol
13 Apr
Yesil Bursa
3 : 0
Bingol
06 Apr
Bingol
0 : 3
Silivrispor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umraniyespor 34 20 9 5 57:32 69
2 Izmir Coruhlu 34 16 10 8 52:30 58
3 Ankara Demirspor 34 16 10 8 40:22 58
4 F. Karagumruk 34 15 12 7 45:24 57
5 Kahramanmaras Bld. 34 16 9 9 56:37 57
6 Silivrispor 34 14 13 7 42:30 55
7 Derincespor 34 15 10 9 40:31 55
8 Beylerbeyi SK 34 13 14 7 52:34 53
9 Sivas Dort 34 14 10 10 51:32 52
10 Hackaspor 34 14 9 11 39:30 51
11 Kemerspor 2003 34 13 9 12 47:31 48
12 Payasspor 34 12 9 13 47:37 45
13 Yesil Bursa 34 12 9 13 49:40 45
14 Kizilcabolukspor 34 11 11 12 41:36 44
15 Adiyamanspor 34 11 6 17 36:47 39
16 Cankaya FK 34 11 6 17 46:59 39
17 Siirtspor 33 2 4 27 9:76 7
18 Bingol 33 0 0 33 3:124 -3
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2013/2014 (Play Offs)