Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yesil Bursa vs Dersim Spor

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Aydin I.
85' Event
Ustabasi J.
86'
Ustabasi J.

AI Match Summary

Yesil Bursa in this TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yesil Bursa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Yesil Bursa
6%
Draws
4%
Dersim Spor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yesil Bursa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dersim Spor lately — more wins on the board than Yesil Bursa.
  • Yesil Bursa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Yesil Bursa Clean Sheet 13%
Dersim Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yesil Bursa Dersim Spor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Yesil Bursa vs Dersim Spor
3:0
Dec 11, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Dersim Spor vs Yesil Bursa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yesil Bursa Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydin I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ustabasi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Dersim Spor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yesil Bursa 84 / 100
Dersim Spor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yesil Bursa Dersim Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dersim Spor conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Dersim Spor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Yesil Bursa's goal record stands at 44% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Yesil Bursa VS Dersim Spor
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Yesil Bursa

(Home)
05 May
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1 : 3
Yesil Bursa
29 Apr
Yesil Bursa
0 : 3
Bucaspor 1928
22 Apr
Golcukspor
2 : 1
Yesil Bursa
14 Apr
Yesil Bursa
0 : 1
Erokspor
07 Apr
Darica Genclerbirligi
5 : 0
Yesil Bursa
Page 1 of 7

Dersim Spor

(Away)
28 Oct
Dersim Spor
0 : 3
Fethiyespor
17 Sept
Dersim Spor
2 : 0
Sanliurfaspor
03 Sept
Dersim Spor
3 : 0
Adanaspor AS
11 Sept
Dersim Spor
0 : 7
Adiyaman FK
14 Sept
Kelkit Bld.
3 : 0
Dersim Spor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodrumspor34198759:3165
2Erbaaspor341612648:2960
3Silivrispor341610834:2558
4Manisa FK341513659:3758
5Catalca Spor341510942:3355
6Duzcespor341412855:4654
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi341581146:3953
8Kirikhanspor3412111136:3947
9Kemerspor 20033411121152:4545
10Yomraspor3410141028:2944
11Bucaspor 19283411101341:4643
12Batman Petrolspor3411101338:3843
13Yesil Bursa341181540:3541
14Dardanelspor341181542:5441
15Pazarspor341161734:4639
16Dersim Spor34961933:5433
17Derincespor345111831:5926
18Kirikkale FK344111928:6123
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)