Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yesil Bursa vs Turgutlu

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Samiloglu O.

AI Match Summary

Turgutlu in this TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turgutlu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Yesil Bursa
15%
Draws
59%
Turgutlu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turgutlu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Turgutlu lately — more wins on the board than Yesil Bursa.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Yesil Bursa Clean Sheet 19%
Turgutlu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yesil Bursa Turgutlu
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 0.77 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2018 3. Lig Group 2
Yesil Bursa vs Turgutlu
0:1
Aug 26, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Turgutlu vs Yesil Bursa
1:0
Feb 24, 2016 3. Lig Group 1
Turgutlu vs Yesil Bursa
1:1
Oct 7, 2015 3. Lig Group 1
Yesil Bursa vs Turgutlu
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yesil Bursa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Samiloglu O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yesil Bursa 32 / 100
Turgutlu 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yesil Bursa Turgutlu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turgutlu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turgutlu let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Yesil Bursa scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Yesil Bursa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Turgutlu
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yesil Bursa

(Home)
05 May
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1 : 3
Yesil Bursa
29 Apr
Yesil Bursa
0 : 3
Bucaspor 1928
22 Apr
Golcukspor
2 : 1
Yesil Bursa
14 Apr
Yesil Bursa
0 : 1
Erokspor
07 Apr
Darica Genclerbirligi
5 : 0
Yesil Bursa
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Turgutlu

(Away)
26 Apr
Turgutlu
0 : 3
Izmir Coruhlu
20 Apr
Nigde
1 : 3
Turgutlu
13 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 3
Orduspor 1967
06 Apr
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Turgutlu
02 Apr
Turgutlu
1 : 0
K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Darica Genclerbirligi 34 21 9 4 64:18 72
2 Ankara Demirspor 34 22 5 7 60:31 71
3 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 34 19 7 8 63:40 64
4 Bucaspor 1928 34 16 13 5 52:28 61
5 24Erzincanspor 34 17 10 7 53:30 61
6 Pazarspor 34 16 10 8 47:36 58
7 52 Orduspor 34 15 10 9 52:33 55
8 Beykoz Ishakli Spor 34 14 7 13 47:48 49
9 Vanspor FK 34 14 7 13 56:47 49
10 Turgutlu 34 14 5 15 46:47 47
11 Golcukspor 34 13 8 13 56:49 47
12 Erokspor 34 13 7 14 42:37 46
13 Muglaspor 34 11 8 15 36:36 41
14 1461 Trabzon 34 11 5 18 51:54 38
15 Ergene Velimese 34 8 13 13 38:43 37
16 Kirikhanspor 34 7 6 21 28:55 27
17 Yesil Bursa 34 5 7 22 24:55 22
18 Kayseri Erciyesspor 34 0 3 31 17:145 -6
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)