Sport Picks

Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018

Turgutlu

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Yesil Bursa play Turgutlu in the TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yesil Bursa averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Turgutlu averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Yesil Bursa won 1, Turgutlu won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 20, 2018 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Yesil Bursa and 1.30 for Turgutlu. This points to a Turgutlu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Yesil Bursa

21%

Draws

45%

Turgutlu

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Turgutlu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Yesil Bursa picked up more points recently compared to Turgutlu.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Yesil Bursa Clean Sheet 19%

Turgutlu Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yesil Bursa	Turgutlu
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	4	5
Draws	5	7
Losses	21	19
Goals Scored	0.77	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.8	1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2018 3. Lig Group 2

Yesil Bursa vs Turgutlu

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 4 - 0

0:1

Aug 26, 2017 3. Lig Group 2

Turgutlu vs Yesil Bursa

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Feb 24, 2016 3. Lig Group 1

Turgutlu vs Yesil Bursa

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Oct 7, 2015 3. Lig Group 1

Yesil Bursa vs Turgutlu

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yesil Bursa Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Turgutlu Compare

Top Goalscorer Samiloglu O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yesil Bursa 34 / 100

Turgutlu 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yesil Bursa Turgutlu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Turgutlu or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yesil Bursa attacking → ← attacking Turgutlu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yesil Bursa scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Turgutlu let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Yesil Bursa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Turgutlu lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 22

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Darica Genclerbirligi	34	21	9	4	64:18	72
2	Ankara Demirspor	34	22	5	7	60:31	71
3	Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)	34	19	7	8	63:40	64
4	Bucaspor 1928	34	16	13	5	52:28	61
5	24Erzincanspor	34	17	10	7	53:30	61
6	Pazarspor	34	16	10	8	47:36	58
7	52 Orduspor	34	15	10	9	52:33	55
8	Beykoz Ishakli Spor	34	14	7	13	47:48	49
9	Vanspor FK	34	14	7	13	56:47	49
10	Turgutlu	34	14	5	15	46:47	47
11	Golcukspor	34	13	8	13	56:49	47
12	Erokspor	34	13	7	14	42:37	46
13	Muglaspor	34	11	8	15	36:36	41
14	1461 Trabzon	34	11	5	18	51:54	38
15	Ergene Velimese	34	8	13	13	38:43	37
16	Kirikhanspor	34	7	6	21	28:55	27
17	Yesil Bursa	34	5	7	22	24:55	22
18	Kayseri Erciyesspor	34	0	3	31	17:145	-6