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Yesil Yalova FK vs Gaziantep

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yesil Yalova FK play Gaziantep in the Turkish Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yesil Yalova FK averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Gaziantep averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Yesil Yalova FK won 0, Gaziantep won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 4, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Yesil Yalova FK and 1.44 for Gaziantep. This points to a Gaziantep double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Yesil Yalova FK
30%
Draws
36%
Gaziantep
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gaziantep

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Yesil Yalova FK picked up more points recently compared to Gaziantep.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Yesil Yalova FK Clean Sheet 16%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yesil Yalova FK Gaziantep
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2025 Turkish Cup
Yesil Yalova FK vs Gaziantep
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yesil Yalova FK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Gaziantep Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorescu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yesil Yalova FK 34 / 100
Gaziantep 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yesil Yalova FK Gaziantep

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gaziantep or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yesil Yalova FK attacking → ← attacking Gaziantep

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yesil Yalova FK scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Gaziantep let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Yesil Yalova FK went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Gaziantep lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 32
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63