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Yessentuki vs Alania 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Khokrishvili D.
29' Event
Chiperi I.
Own Goal
35'
Sub
Mikaelyan A. In: Tagibekov Y.
Out: Mikaelyan A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Group 1 game between Yessentuki and Alania 2 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alania 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Yessentuki
15%
Draws
85%
Alania 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alania 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Alania 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Yessentuki a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Yessentuki Clean Sheet 20%
Alania 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yessentuki Alania 2
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 5
Draws 3 4
Losses 26 23
Goals Scored 0.33 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs Alania 2
0:3
Aug 8, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Yessentuki
0:1
Apr 4, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs Alania 2
2:1
Feb 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Yessentuki vs Alania 2
1:1
Sep 8, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Yessentuki
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yessentuki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Alania 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Khokrishvili D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dryaev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yessentuki 36 / 100
Alania 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yessentuki Alania 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alania 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Alania 2's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Yessentuki found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Alania 2
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yessentuki

(Home)
29 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Biolog
22 Apr
R. Volgograd
:
Yessentuki
14 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Spartak Nalchik
08 Apr
Forte Taganrog
15 : 0
Yessentuki
31 Mar
Yessentuki
0 : 3
Mashuk
Page 1 of 6

Alania 2

(Away)
16 Nov
KDV Tomsk
6 : 2
Alania 2
09 Nov
Rubin Yalta
3 : 1
Alania 2
26 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 1
Angust Nazran
19 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Alania 2
12 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 5
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 26 19 6 1 56:18 63
2 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 26 16 7 3 40:10 55
3 R. Volgograd 26 15 7 4 47:19 52
4 Biolog 26 13 7 6 35:24 46
5 Forte Taganrog 26 12 9 5 52:22 45
6 Kuban Kholding 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
7 Spartak Nalchik 26 10 7 9 36:30 37
8 Maykop 26 10 5 11 28:31 35
9 SKA Rostov-on-Don 26 9 7 10 26:31 34
10 Dynamo Stavropol 26 7 10 9 27:38 31
11 Legion Makhachkala 26 5 6 15 29:43 21
12 Mashuk 26 5 6 15 27:47 21
13 Alania 2 26 2 7 17 21:53 13
14 Yessentuki 26 1 2 23 7:79 5
Promotion - FNL 2 - Group 1 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Group 1 (Relegation Group)