Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ymir vs Falkar

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Eiriksson D.
18' Event
Davidsson B.
28' Event
Ottosson B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 7-0. This leg finished 7-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ymir
25%
Draws
35%
Falkar
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ymir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Falkar haven't matched Ymir's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ymir's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ymir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ymir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ymir Clean Sheet 10%
Falkar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ymir Falkar
Matches Played 27 2
Wins 9 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 2.74 0
Goals Conceded 3.04 5.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Ymir vs Falkar
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ymir Compare

Top Goalscorer Eiriksson D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Helgason O.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.84
Avg xA / game 1.84

Falkar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ymir 83 / 100
Falkar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ymir Falkar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ymir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Falkar conceded in 100% of 2 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Ymir's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Ymir has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ymir VS Falkar
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 5.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ymir

(Home)
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
03 Apr
Afturelding
6 : 1
Ymir
28 Mar
Ymir
10 : 0
KFS
20 Mar
Ymir
7 : 0
Falkar
05 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
3 : 1
Ymir
Page 1 of 6

Falkar

(Away)
20 Mar
Ymir
7 : 0
Falkar
29 Mar
Smari
4 : 0
Falkar

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Einherji 2
Neisti 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 7
Stokkseyri 3
Arbaer 1
Hafnir 0
Aegir -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 1
Reynir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur -
TBD -
Olafsvik 3
Arborg 2
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 2
Haukar 3
KFR -
IH Hafnarfjordur -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Ellidi 9
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
Alafoss 1
Fjolnir 4
KFG Gardabaer 2
Vidir 3
Kopavogur -
TBD -
BF 108 5
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 5
KB Breidholt 0
Spyrnir -
Sindri -
TBD -
KFA -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Smari 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 4
Hamar 2
Alftanes 5
Kria 2
SR Reykjavik 2
Kari 8
IR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Afturelding -
Ymir 7
Falkar 0
KFS -
Thorlakur -
Tindastoll 3
Fjallabyggd 1
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Magni 3
Njardvik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 1
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 0
Selfoss 3
IBU 1
Augnablik 12
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/32-finals
Hottur / Huginn 5
Neisti 0
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Lettir 3
Arbaer 5
Aegir 2
Reynir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Throttur 3
Olafsvik 1
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 3
TBD -
Breidablik -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 3
KFR 0
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 2
TBD -
Keflavik -
Fjolnir 2
Vidir 1
Kopavogur 4
BF 108 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Fylkir 6
KV Reykjavik 0
Sindri 0
KFA 1
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Vestri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Smari 0
Grotta 2
Ulfarnir 1
Alftanes 5
Kari 1
IR Reykjavik 2
Afturelding 3
Ymir 10
KFS 0
Tindastoll 3
Magni 1
Njardvik 5
Hviti 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Selfoss 7
Augnablik 1
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
1/16-finals
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 5
Arbaer 1
Aegir 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Throttur 3
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Breidablik 6
Akranes 4
Haukar 0
Grindavik 2
Keflavik 1
Fjolnir 3
Kopavogur 4
Fram 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 2
KFA 0
Thor Akureyri 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
Vestri 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Grotta 1
Alftanes 0
Afturelding 6
Ymir 1
Tindastoll 0
Njardvik 1
Stjarnan 2
Selfoss 1
KR Reykjavik 4
Valur 2
1/8-finals
KA Akureyri 1
Aegir 2
Throttur 1
Breidablik 2
Akranes 3
Grindavik 2
Kopavogur 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 5
Hafnarfjordur 0
Vestri 0
Grotta 4
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 2
Stjarnan 2
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
Aegir 0
Breidablik 3
Akranes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Fylkir 4
Grotta 2
Afturelding 3
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Fylkir 1
Afturelding 2
Final
Breidablik 2
Afturelding 1