Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ymir vs IR Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Bjorgvinsson G.
35' Event
Santos I.
58' Event
Haraldson R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with IR Reykjavik advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ymir
15%
Draws
51%
IR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IR Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • IR Reykjavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ymir a 34% chance of winning this.
  • IR Reykjavik arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor IR Reykjavik, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Ymir Clean Sheet 10%
IR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ymir IR Reykjavik
Matches Played 27 36
Wins 9 17
Draws 0 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 2.74 2.22
Goals Conceded 3.04 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2020 Icelandic Cup
Ymir vs IR Reykjavik
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ymir Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

IR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjorgvinsson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ymir 74 / 100
IR Reykjavik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ymir IR Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ymir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IR Reykjavik let in goals in 89% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ymir scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Ymir went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ymir VS IR Reykjavik
0 Goals Scored 1.63
4 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ymir

(Home)
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
03 Apr
Afturelding
6 : 1
Ymir
28 Mar
Ymir
10 : 0
KFS
20 Mar
Ymir
7 : 0
Falkar
05 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
3 : 1
Ymir
Page 1 of 6

IR Reykjavik

(Away)
05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Volsungur
3 : 1
IR Reykjavik
21 Aug
Grotta
1 : 3
IR Reykjavik
17 Aug
IR Reykjavik
3 : 1
Njardvik
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midas 4
KM Reykjavik 1
SR Reykjavik 2
IBU 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir -
Skandinavia -
Kria 2
Hamar 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fjallabyggd 2
TBD -
Magni -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 7
KB Breidholt 1
Vatnaliljur 0
Afturelding 12
Smari 0
Njardvik 4
Arborg 1
Augnablik 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 4
Bjorninn 5
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Sindri 1
TBD -
Fjardabyggd -
Vaengirs 3
KH Hlidarendi 1
KFB 1
Vidir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hviti 2
KFS 1
Selfoss 5
Snaefell 0
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 0
Kari 3
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Tindastoll 2
Kormakur/Hvot 1
Samherjar 3
Nokkvi 0
Haukar 3
Ellidi 1
Alftanes 0
Fram 4
Skallagrimur 0
Ymir 2
IR Reykjavik 3
KA Asvellir 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Berserkir 1
KFR 0
GG Grindavik 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 1
Alafoss 0
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Vestri 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Stokkseyri 3
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Lettir 1
Reynir 9
Throttur Vogar 2
Aegir 1
TBD -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji -
1/32-finals
Midas 0
SR Reykjavik 4
TBD -
Valur -
Kordrengir 6
Hamar 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Fjallabyggd 2
Magni 3
TBD -
Kopavogur -
KFG Gardabaer 0
Afturelding 5
Njardvik 1
Arborg 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
Keflavik 5
Bjorninn 0
Grotta -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 2
Fjardabyggd 1
Vaengirs 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Hviti 0
Selfoss 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5
Tindastoll 2
Samherjar 1
Haukar 1
Fram 2
Ymir 1
IR Reykjavik 4
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
GG Grindavik 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
Throttur 3
Vestri 1
TBD -
Samherjar -
Volsungur 2
Thor Akureyri 3
Stokkseyri 2
Reynir 8
Throttur Vogar 1
Olafsvik 2
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 3
Einherji 1
1/16-finals
SR Reykjavik 0
Valur 3
Kordrengir 2
Akranes 3
Magni 1
Kopavogur 2
Afturelding 3
Arborg 0
Breidablik 3
Keflavik 2
Grotta 3
Hottur / Huginn 0
Vaengirs 1
KR Reykjavik 8
Fjolnir 3
Selfoss 2
KA Akureyri 6
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 7
Tindastoll 0
Fram 3
IR Reykjavik 1
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Fylkir 8
Throttur 1
Hafnarfjordur 2
Thor Akureyri 2
Reynir 1
Olafsvik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 3
Leiknir Faskruds 0
1/8-finals
Valur 3
Akranes 1
Kopavogur 6
Afturelding 2
Breidablik 3
Grotta 0
KR Reykjavik 2
Fjolnir 0
KA Akureyri 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Fram 2
Fylkir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Stjarnan 2
Quarter-finals
Valur 2
Kopavogur 1
Breidablik 2
KR Reykjavik 4
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Stjarnan 0
Semi-finals
Valur -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Hafnarfjordur -
Final
TBD -
TBD -