Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ynyshir Albions vs Cwmbran Celtic

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Salter C.

AI Match Summary

Ynyshir Albions in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ynyshir Albions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ynyshir Albions
6%
Draws
4%
Cwmbran Celtic
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ynyshir Albions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cwmbran Celtic haven't matched Ynyshir Albions's recent run of results.
  • Ynyshir Albions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ynyshir Albions have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 19%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ynyshir Albions Cwmbran Celtic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 1
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Ynyshir Albions
1:3
Nov 29, 2025 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Cwmbran Celtic
1:0
Apr 1, 2023 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Cwmbran Celtic
1:0
Feb 11, 2023 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Ynyshir Albions
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ynyshir Albions Compare

Top Goalscorer Salter C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cwmbran Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ynyshir Albions 85 / 100
Cwmbran Celtic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ynyshir Albions Cwmbran Celtic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YNY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cwmbran Celtic let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: Ynyshir Albions remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Cwmbran Celtic's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ynyshir Albions VS Cwmbran Celtic
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trefelin30253283:1778
2Cambrian United30244275:2076
3Ammanford Town30179449:2660
4Caerau Ely30176766:3457
5Carmarthen Town301112745:3845
6Aberystwyth301351235:3844
7Cardiff Draconians301241450:4840
8Llantwit Major309101144:4737
9Treowen301071351:6337
10Newport City309101136:4837
11Pontypridd United30971446:5134
12Afan Lido30931832:5730
13Trethomas Bluebirds306111345:6229
14Baglan Dragons305101526:5225
15Ynyshir Albions30581727:5623
16Cwmbran Celtic30172225:7810