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Ynyshir Albions vs Llanelli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ynyshir Albions host Llanelli in the Cymru South. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Ynyshir Albions at 1.03 goals for, 1.47 against; Llanelli at 0.74 for, 2.55 against. Head-to-head, Ynyshir Albions have won 0 to Llanelli's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2025, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.81, favoring Ynyshir Albions. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ynyshir Albions
30%
Draws
0%
Llanelli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ynyshir Albions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Ynyshir Albions have won more games recently than Llanelli.
  • Ynyshir Albions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Llanelli have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 20%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ynyshir Albions Llanelli
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 3
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.03 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 League Cup
Ynyshir Albions vs Llanelli
1:4
Apr 10, 2023 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Llanelli
2:7
Aug 26, 2022 Cymru South
Llanelli vs Ynyshir Albions
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ynyshir Albions 85 / 100
Llanelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ynyshir Albions Llanelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ynyshir Albions Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llanelli let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Ynyshir Albions went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Llanelli lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ynyshir Albions VS Llanelli
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ynyshir Albions

(Home)
03 Oct
Treowen
1 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
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Llanelli

(Away)
02 Oct
Llanelli
1 : 2
Baglan Dragons
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
11 Sept
Caerau Ely
3 : 0
Llanelli
04 Sept
Llanelli
0 : 2
Treowen
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0
Llanelli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 8 6 2 0 25:6 20
2 Aberystwyth 8 6 1 1 22:8 19
3 Pontypridd United 9 6 1 2 23:16 19
4 Caerau Ely 9 5 1 3 21:18 16
5 Baglan Dragons 10 5 1 4 11:11 16
6 Carmarthen Town 9 4 2 3 20:19 14
7 Ynyshir Albions 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
8 Treowen 9 4 1 4 18:18 13
9 Afan Lido 10 3 2 5 13:17 11
10 Trethomas Bluebirds 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Pontardawe 8 3 0 5 14:16 9
12 Newport City 7 2 2 3 10:6 8
13 Cardiff Draconians 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
14 Caerphilly 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
15 Llantwit Major 8 2 1 5 7:20 7
16 Llanelli 10 0 2 8 7:27 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)