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Ynyshir Albions vs Treowen

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Selway H.
80' Event
Facey D.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Ynyshir Albions and Treowen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ynyshir Albions
28%
Draws
22%
Treowen
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ynyshir Albions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Treowen has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ynyshir Albions.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Ynyshir Albions.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cymru South 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 12%
Treowen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ynyshir Albions Treowen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Treowen
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Cymru South
Treowen vs Ynyshir Albions
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ynyshir Albions Compare

Top Goalscorer Facey D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Treowen Compare

Top Goalscorer Selway H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ynyshir Albions 47 / 100
Treowen 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ynyshir Albions Treowen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YNY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ynyshir Albions scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Treowen let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ynyshir Albions went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Treowen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ynyshir Albions VS Treowen
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trefelin30253283:1778
2Cambrian United30244275:2076
3Ammanford Town30179449:2660
4Caerau Ely30176766:3457
5Carmarthen Town301112745:3845
6Aberystwyth301351235:3844
7Cardiff Draconians301241450:4840
8Llantwit Major309101144:4737
9Treowen301071351:6337
10Newport City309101136:4837
11Pontypridd United30971446:5134
12Afan Lido30931832:5730
13Trethomas Bluebirds306111345:6229
14Baglan Dragons305101526:5225
15Ynyshir Albions30581727:5623
16Cwmbran Celtic30172225:7810