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Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Bethell C.
33' Event
Norton J.
44' Event
Rees O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ynyshir Albions
35%
Draws
37%
Trethomas Bluebirds
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trethomas Bluebirds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ynyshir Albions lately — more wins on the board than Trethomas Bluebirds.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ynyshir Albions Clean Sheet 20%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ynyshir Albions Trethomas Bluebirds
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 Cymru South
Ynyshir Albions vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Ynyshir Albions
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ynyshir Albions Compare

Top Goalscorer Bethell C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Norton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Trethomas Bluebirds Compare

Top Goalscorer Rees O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Newman Jones A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ynyshir Albions 32 / 100
Trethomas Bluebirds 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ynyshir Albions Trethomas Bluebirds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trethomas Bluebirds Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trethomas Bluebirds's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ynyshir Albions scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Ynyshir Albions remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ynyshir Albions VS Trethomas Bluebirds
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ynyshir Albions

(Home)
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
12 Sept
Carmarthen Town
2 : 2
Ynyshir Albions
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
22 Aug
Caerphilly
2 : 1
Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 6

Trethomas Bluebirds

(Away)
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2
Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)