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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Verdy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yokohama F. Marinos host Verdy in the J1 League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Yokohama F. Marinos have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Verdy's 0.9 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Yokohama F. Marinos slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 0:6. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.76) point toward Yokohama F. Marinos. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Yokohama F. Marinos
30%
Draws
19%
Verdy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yokohama F. Marinos come out ahead of Verdy on wins alone.
  • Model gives Yokohama F. Marinos a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 20%
Verdy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yokohama F. Marinos Verdy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.69 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0:6
Feb 28, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Verdy
3:2
Aug 9, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Verdy
0:0
Jun 29, 2024 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Verdy
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yokohama F. Marinos 85 / 100
Verdy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yokohama F. Marinos Verdy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yokohama F. Marinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yokohama F. Marinos's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Yokohama F. Marinos stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Verdy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Yokohama F. Marinos VS Verdy
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yokohama F. Marinos

(Home)
10 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0
Yokohama F. Marinos
07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1
Kyoto Sangyo
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
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Verdy

(Away)
11 Oct
Verdy
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
Verdy
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Verdy
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashiwa Reysol 9 7 0 2 21:14 21
2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 9 6 2 1 22:6 20
3 Machida Zelvia 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
4 FC Tokyo 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
5 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
6 Kashima Antlers 9 5 1 3 19:16 16
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
8 Kawasaki Frontale 9 3 4 2 17:14 13
9 Okayama 9 4 1 4 12:12 13
10 Shimizu S-Pulse 9 4 1 4 8:9 13
11 Urawa Reds 9 4 0 5 16:21 12
12 Cerezo Osaka 9 3 3 3 7:12 12
13 Mito 9 2 3 4 12:13 9
14 V-Varen Nagasaki 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
15 Nagoya Grampus 9 3 0 6 9:15 9
16 Kyoto 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
17 Avispa Fukuoka 9 2 1 6 11:13 7
18 Gamba Osaka 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
19 Chiba 9 1 2 6 8:19 5
20 Verdy 9 0 4 5 4:14 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)