Sport Picks
York City vs Accrington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two York Community Stadium, York 
Match Events
14'
14'
Love D.
55'
55'
Hunt J.
61'
61'
Woods J.
Assist: Mols S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Accrington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- York City have won more games recently than Accrington.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Accrington have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
York City Clean Sheet 16%
Accrington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | York City | Accrington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2026 League Two
York City vs Accrington
1:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Accrington vs York City
2:0
Apr 23, 2016 League Two
Accrington vs York City
3:0
Nov 28, 2015 League Two
York City vs Accrington
1:5
Nov 7, 2015 FA Cup
Accrington vs York City
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
York City Compare
Top Goalscorer Pearce O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Accrington Compare
Top Goalscorer Woods J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
York City 31 / 100
Accrington 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
York City Accrington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
York City's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Accrington has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: York City stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
York City VS Accrington
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
York City
(Home) 20 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Accrington
17 Oct
Newport
1 : 1 York City
10 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Northampton
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Accrington
10 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Northampton
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0 Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 4
Accrington
(Away) 20 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Accrington
17 Oct
Accrington
3 : 1 Gillingham
10 Oct
Oldham
0 : 0 Accrington
06 Oct
Accrington
2 : 1 Salford
03 Oct
Accrington
2 : 0 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Accrington
10 Oct
Oldham
0 : 0 Accrington
26 Sept
Swindon
1 : 1 Accrington
12 Sept
Barnet
2 : 1 Accrington
29 Aug
Walsall
3 : 2 Accrington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 15:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:22 | 18 |
| 6 | York City | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Exeter | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8:6 | 16 |
| 11 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 12 | Newport | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 | Swindon | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Grimsby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 12 |
| 21 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 23 | Northampton | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 5 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
