Sport Picks

Stadium Background

York City vs Exeter

England England

League Two York Community Stadium, York
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Newby A.
Assist: Boyes H.
33'
Cole R.
35'
Edwards G.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between York City and Exeter finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward York City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
York City
20%
Draws
29%
Exeter
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: York City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and York City come out ahead of Exeter on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on York City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
York City Clean Sheet 17%
Exeter Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric York City Exeter
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 19 3
Draws 3 10
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.14 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 League Two
York City vs Exeter
2:1
Feb 16, 2016 League Two
York City vs Exeter
2:0
Aug 22, 2015 League Two
Exeter vs York City
0:0
Feb 28, 2015 League Two
York City vs Exeter
0:0
Aug 23, 2014 League Two
Exeter vs York City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Newby A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malcolm J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Exeter Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitzwater J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

York City 41 / 100
Exeter 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
York City Exeter

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

York City's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Exeter has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: York City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Exeter's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

York City VS Exeter
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

York City

(Home)
29 Aug
York City
2 : 1
Exeter
22 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1
York City
15 Aug
York City
3 : 2
Bristol Rovers
03 Aug
York City
0 : 2
Crawley Town
28 Jul
York City
1 : 2
Peterborough
Page 1 of 6

Exeter

(Away)
29 Aug
York City
2 : 1
Exeter
22 Aug
Exeter
2 : 0
Accrington
15 Aug
Grimsby
1 : 0
Exeter
10 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 0
Exeter
01 Aug
Exeter
1 : 1
Bristol City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Walsall 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 York City 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
4 Colchester 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
5 Crewe 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
6 Oldham 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
7 Bristol Rovers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 Tranmere 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
9 Grimsby 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
10 Fleetwood Town 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
11 Newport 3 1 1 1 8:7 4
12 Cheltenham 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
13 Rotherham 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
14 Swindon 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
15 Exeter 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
16 Chesterfield 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
17 Crawley Town 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
18 Shrewsbury 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
19 Northampton 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
20 Port Vale 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
21 Gillingham 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
22 Accrington 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
23 Salford 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
24 Rochdale 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)