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York City vs Newcastle Utd U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy York Community Stadium, York

York City

1 - 3

Newcastle Utd U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Pearce O. In: Farrar B.

Out: Pearce O.

Felix J.

44'

Salia V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

York City

30%

Draws

35%

Newcastle Utd U21

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

York City have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd U21.
35% — that's where the model lands on York City taking it.
York City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

York City Clean Sheet 16%

Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	York City	Newcastle Utd U21
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	7
Draws	7	5
Losses	9	17
Goals Scored	1.75	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.39	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 EFL Trophy

York City vs Newcastle Utd U21

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Felix J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Newcastle Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salia V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Thompson K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

York City 48 / 100

Newcastle Utd U21 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

York City Newcastle Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick York City Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 5:4

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: York City scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Newcastle Utd U21 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

York City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

York City VS Newcastle Utd U21

1.63 Goals Scored 1.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

York City

(Home)

20 Oct

York City

1 : 1

Accrington

17 Oct

Newport

1 : 1

York City

10 Oct

York City

1 : 1

Northampton

26 Sept

York City

3 : 0

Gillingham

22 Sept

York City

1 : 2

Rotherham

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Newcastle Utd U21

(Away)

13 Oct

Hartlepool

1 : 2

Newcastle Utd U21

09 Oct

Newcastle Utd U21

4 : 1

Luton U21

06 Oct

Solihull Moors

2 : 1

Newcastle Utd U21

22 Sept

Bradford City

2 : 1

Newcastle Utd U21

19 Sept

Leeds U21

2 : 0

Newcastle Utd U21

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