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York City vs Port Vale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two York Community Stadium, York
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

York City host Port Vale in the League Two. This one's hard to separate. Port Vale have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while York City have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.78. Head-to-head, York City have won 1 to Port Vale's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2013, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.00) point toward York City. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
York City
20%
Draws
51%
Port Vale
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Port Vale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • York City average 1.78 goals a game right now, well clear of Port Vale's 0.97.
  • Win probability leans York City's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
York City Clean Sheet 20%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric York City Port Vale
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.78 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2013 League Two
York City vs Port Vale
0:2
Nov 17, 2012 League Two
Port Vale vs York City
2:2
Apr 21, 1994 League One
Port Vale vs York City
2:1
Jan 1, 1994 League One
York City vs Port Vale
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

York City 36 / 100
Port Vale 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
York City Port Vale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: York City scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: York City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Port Vale conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

York City VS Port Vale
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

York City

(Home)
17 Oct
Newport
1 : 1
York City
10 Oct
York City
1 : 1
Northampton
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0
Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0
York City
Page 1 of 6

Port Vale

(Away)
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0
Chesterfield
10 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0
Grimsby
06 Oct
Port Vale
2 : 0
Mansfield
22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1
Port Vale
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0
Port Vale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 11 7 1 3 17:11 22
2 Barnet 9 6 3 0 22:12 21
3 Crewe 11 5 6 0 15:9 21
4 York City 10 4 4 2 18:12 16
5 Walsall 10 3 7 0 13:7 16
6 Gillingham 11 4 4 3 16:13 16
7 Chesterfield 11 4 3 4 17:15 15
8 Cheltenham 11 4 3 4 17:20 15
9 Bristol Rovers 11 5 0 6 15:18 15
10 Accrington 11 3 5 3 16:15 14
11 Newport 11 3 5 3 14:13 14
12 Fleetwood Town 11 3 5 3 12:11 14
13 Rochdale 11 4 2 5 13:15 14
14 Shrewsbury 11 4 2 5 10:15 14
15 Grimsby 11 3 4 4 13:13 13
16 Exeter 11 3 4 4 6:6 13
17 Tranmere 11 2 6 3 14:15 12
18 Swindon 11 3 3 5 10:15 12
19 Oldham 10 3 2 5 13:14 11
20 Colchester 10 2 5 3 10:13 11
21 Port Vale 9 3 2 4 5:9 11
22 Northampton 9 2 4 3 6:7 10
23 Rotherham 11 2 4 5 12:18 10
24 Crawley Town 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)