Sport Picks

Stadium Background

York City vs Swindon

England England

League Two York Community Stadium, York
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Newby A.
24' Event
Banks O.
Assist: King J.
24'
Majekodunmi K.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between York City and Swindon finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward York City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
York City
15%
Draws
36%
Swindon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: York City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and York City come out ahead of Swindon on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans York City's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
York City Clean Sheet 16%
Swindon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric York City Swindon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League Two
York City vs Swindon
4:0
Nov 10, 2018 FA Cup
Swindon vs York City
2:1
Jan 13, 1996 League One
York City vs Swindon
2:0
Aug 19, 1995 League One
Swindon vs York City
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Newby A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Banks O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Swindon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

York City 39 / 100
Swindon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
York City Swindon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick York City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

York City found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Swindon let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Swindon lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

York City VS Swindon
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

York City

(Home)
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0
York City
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0
Swindon
05 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
York City
Page 1 of 6

Swindon

(Away)
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2
Newport
19 Sept
Salford
1 : 0
Swindon
15 Sept
Swindon
1 : 2
Crystal Palace U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0
Swindon
05 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1
Colchester
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
2 Walsall 7 3 4 0 10:4 13
3 Grimsby 7 3 4 0 11:6 13
4 Gillingham 7 3 3 1 11:6 12
5 Cheltenham 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
6 Bristol Rovers 7 4 0 3 12:11 12
7 York City 7 3 2 2 13:10 11
8 Chesterfield 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
9 Crewe 7 2 5 0 7:5 11
10 Tranmere 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
11 Fleetwood Town 7 2 4 1 8:7 10
12 Salford 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
13 Swindon 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
14 Rotherham 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
15 Colchester 7 2 3 2 8:10 9
16 Oldham 7 2 1 4 8:9 7
17 Rochdale 7 2 1 4 7:10 7
18 Shrewsbury 7 2 1 4 5:11 7
19 Newport 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
20 Exeter 7 1 3 3 4:5 6
21 Accrington 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)