Sport Picks

Stadium Background

York City vs Yeovil

England England

National League 2025/2026 York Community Stadium, York
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Stones J.
23' Event
Pearce O.
Assist: Banks O.
42' Event
Stones J.
Assist: King J.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between York City and Yeovil finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward York City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
York City
20%
Draws
46%
Yeovil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yeovil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and York City come out ahead of Yeovil on wins alone.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and York City have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
York City Clean Sheet 68%
Yeovil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric York City Yeovil
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National League
York City vs Yeovil
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 National League
Yeovil vs York City
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 National League
Yeovil vs York City
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 National League
York City vs Yeovil
4:0
Feb 25, 2023 National League
York City vs Yeovil
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Pearce O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stones J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Yeovil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

York City 41 / 100
Yeovil 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
York City Yeovil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick York City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

York City's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Yeovil has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

York City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

York City VS Yeovil
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

York City

(Home)
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0
Gillingham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2
Rotherham
19 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 0
York City
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
12 Sept
York City
4 : 0
Swindon
Page 1 of 6

Yeovil

(Away)
29 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 1
Worthing FC
26 Sept
Kidderminster
0 : 1
Yeovil
18 Sept
Yeovil
4 : 1
Solihull Moors
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1
Yeovil
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4
AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 York City 46 33 9 4 114:41 108
2 Rochdale 46 33 7 6 88:41 106
3 Carlisle 46 29 8 9 87:51 95
4 Boreham Wood 46 27 9 10 95:58 90
5 Scunthorpe 46 23 13 10 77:62 82
6 Southend 46 23 12 11 83:47 81
7 Forest Green 46 23 12 11 82:52 81
8 Halifax 46 20 10 16 69:66 70
9 Hartlepool 46 18 14 14 54:59 68
10 Woking 46 16 15 15 69:54 63
11 Tamworth 46 17 11 18 63:71 62
12 Boston United 46 15 14 17 63:67 59
13 Altrincham 46 17 6 23 55:65 57
14 Solihull Moors 46 14 14 18 71:72 56
15 Wealdstone 46 15 11 20 67:74 56
16 Yeovil 46 15 6 25 48:68 51
17 Eastleigh 46 13 11 22 57:80 50
18 Gateshead 46 14 8 24 54:90 50
19 Sutton 46 11 14 21 59:79 47
20 Aldershot 46 13 7 26 69:87 46
21 Brackley 46 10 12 24 40:75 42
22 Morecambe 46 9 11 26 66:103 38
23 Braintree 46 8 12 26 38:76 36
24 Truro 46 8 10 28 42:72 34
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)