Sport Picks
Young Africans vs Mbao
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
28'
28'
Molinga D.
(Penalty)
81'
81'
Sibomana P.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Young Africans and Mbao finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Africans.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Young Africans
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Young Africans come out ahead of Mbao on wins alone.
- Model gives Young Africans a 45% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Young Africans here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 68%
Mbao Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Young Africans | Mbao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 24 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.45 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mbao
2:0
Oct 22, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Young Africans
0:1
Feb 20, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Young Africans
1:2
Oct 7, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mbao
2:0
May 22, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mbao
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Young Africans Compare
Top Goalscorer Sibomana P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9
Mbao Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Young Africans 68 / 100
Mbao 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Young Africans Mbao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Young Africans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Young Africans scored in 94% of their last 31 games.
Recent resilience: Young Africans stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Mbao let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Young Africans VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Young Africans
(Home) 15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0 Geita Gold
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1 Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1 Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0 Pamba
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0 Geita Gold
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1 Gaborone Utd
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0 Pamba
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0 JKT Tanzania
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 3
Mbao
(Away) 01 Aug
Mbao
4 : 2 Singida Black Stars
29 Jul
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0 Mbao
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0 Ndanda
22 Jul
Mbao
3 : 0 Namungo
19 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Mbao
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0 Mbao
19 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Mbao
16 Jul
Simba
2 : 3 Mbao
14 Jun
Azam
2 : 0 Mbao
17 Mar
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbao
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
