Sport Picks
Young Africans vs Mbeya City
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam 
Match Events
6'
6'
Dube P.
Assist: Zouzoua P.
9'
9'
Zouzoua P.
Assist: Nzengeli M.
16'
16'
Nzengeli M.
Assist: Okello A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Young Africans and Mbeya City finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Africans.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Young Africans
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Young Africans come out ahead of Mbeya City on wins alone.
- Young Africans are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 68%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Young Africans | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 26 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 2 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.24 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.39 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mbeya City
6:0
Sep 30, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Young Africans
0:0
Jun 6, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Young Africans
3:3
Nov 26, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mbeya City
2:0
Jun 25, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Young Africans
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Young Africans Compare
Top Goalscorer Dube P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Zouzoua P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Mbeya City Compare
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Young Africans 95 / 100
Mbeya City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Young Africans Mbeya City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Young Africans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Young Africans found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (33 games).
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Young Africans went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Mbeya City has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Young Africans VS Mbeya City
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Young Africans
(Home) 24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0 JKT Tanzania
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
15 Aug
Namungo
1 : 3 Young Africans
12 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Young Africans
30 Jun
JKT Tanzania
0 : 3 Young Africans
Page 1 of 7
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0 JKT Tanzania
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
27 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 0 TRA United
24 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 0 Azam
25 May
Young Africans
3 : 1 Namungo
Page 1 of 3
Mbeya City
(Away) 23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
14 Aug
Mbeya City
0 : 1 Geita Gold
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
27 Jun
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1 Mbeya City
24 Jun
Pamba
0 : 2 Mbeya City
26 May
Singida Black Stars
4 : 1 Mbeya City
21 May
Namungo
1 : 1 Mbeya City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
