Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Tanzania Prisons

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Young Africans play Tanzania Prisons in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Young Africans are favorites here. Recently, Young Africans averaged 2.24 goals scored and 0.48 conceded. Tanzania Prisons averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Young Africans won 5, Tanzania Prisons won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Young Africans and 1.19 for Tanzania Prisons. This points to a Young Africans double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Young Africans

15%

Draws

23%

Tanzania Prisons

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Young Africans picked up more points recently compared to Tanzania Prisons.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Young Africans Clean Sheet 20%

Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Young Africans	Tanzania Prisons
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	23	9
Draws	6	5
Losses	4	15
Goals Scored	2.24	0.79
Goals Conceded	0.48	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

Mar 12, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Young Africans

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Jun 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Young Africans

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

0:5

Dec 22, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

4:0

May 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Young Africans vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Okello A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yahya M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Tanzania Prisons Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Africans 60 / 100

Tanzania Prisons 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Young Africans Tanzania Prisons

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (1)

Secondary Pick Young Africans & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Young Africans attacking → ← attacking Tanzania Prisons

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Africans scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Tanzania Prisons let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Young Africans went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tanzania Prisons lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

75 Points in last 5 32

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9