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Young Africans vs TMA Stars

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Nzengeli M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Young Africans
25%
Draws
35%
TMA Stars
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Young Africans lately — more wins on the board than TMA Stars.
  • Model gives Young Africans a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Young Africans have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Young Africans, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 20%
TMA Stars Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Africans TMA Stars
Matches Played 29 1
Wins 22 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 2 1
Goals Scored 2.24 0
Goals Conceded 0.48 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Federation Cup
Young Africans vs TMA Stars
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Nzengeli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

TMA Stars Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Africans 85 / 100
TMA Stars 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Africans TMA Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Africans found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

TMA Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.

Young Africans has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Young Africans VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Africans

(Home)
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
Page 1 of 6

TMA Stars

(Away)
11 Apr
Young Africans
1 : 0
TMA Stars

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Simba 3
Dodoma Jiji 1
Namungo 0
TRA United 2
Coastal Union 2
Pamba 0
Singida Black Stars 5
Mbeya City 1
Geita Gold 0
Mashujaa 1
Azam 4
Fountain Gate 0
JKT Tanzania 3
Mbuni 0
Young Africans 1
TMA Stars 0
Quarter-finals
Simba 4
TRA United 0
Coastal Union 1
Singida Black Stars 0
Mashujaa 0
Azam 1
JKT Tanzania 0
Young Africans 2
Semi-finals
Simba 4
Coastal Union 0
Azam 3
Young Africans 2
Final
Simba 1
Azam 0