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Young Boys vs Lyon

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Stadion Wankdorf, Bern
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Maitland-Niles A.
46'
Sub
Tagliafico N. In: Mangala O.
Out: Tagliafico N.
61'
Sanches A.

AI Match Summary

Lyon in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lyon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Young Boys
6%
Draws
4%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Young Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lyon lately — more wins on the board than Young Boys.
  • Model gives Young Boys a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Boys Lyon
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 3.25 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Europa League
Young Boys vs Lyon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Boys Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Lyon Compare

Top Goalscorer Maitland-Niles A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Boys 95 / 100
Lyon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Boys Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Young Boys found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Young Boys has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Lyon conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Young Boys VS Lyon
3.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Boys

(Home)
26 Jul
Young Boys
4 : 2
Sion
18 Jul
Young Boys
5 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
10 Jul
Plzen
3 : 5
Young Boys
05 Jul
FC Kharkiv
0 : 2
Young Boys
01 Jul
A. Lustenau
0 : 0
Young Boys
Page 1 of 6

Lyon

(Away)
29 Jul
Betis
4 : 0
Lyon
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2
Lyon
18 Jul
Slavia Prague
2 : 0
Lyon
15 Jul
Lyon
2 : 1
Servette
11 Jul
Lyon
6 : 3
St. Gallen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)