Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yozgat vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yozgat play Karabuk Idmanyurdu in the 3. Lig Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Yozgat averaged 1.97 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Karabuk Idmanyurdu averaged 1 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Yozgat won 2, Karabuk Idmanyurdu won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 9, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Yozgat and 1.00 for Karabuk Idmanyurdu. This points to a Yozgat double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Yozgat
20%
Draws
32%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yozgat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Yozgat picked up more points recently compared to Karabuk Idmanyurdu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Yozgat Clean Sheet 23%
Karabuk Idmanyurdu Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yozgat Karabuk Idmanyurdu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Yozgat vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Yozgat
0:6
Apr 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Yozgat vs Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 3. Lig Group 3
Karabuk Idmanyurdu vs Yozgat
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yozgat Compare

Top Goalscorer Buyukkaya E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Karabuk Idmanyurdu Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdogan K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zorlu Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yozgat 48 / 100
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yozgat Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Yozgat or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Yozgat attacking → ← attacking Karabuk Idmanyurdu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yozgat scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Karabuk Idmanyurdu let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Yozgat went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Karabuk Idmanyurdu lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 44
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321