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Yozgat vs Karadeniz Eregli

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 Yozgat Sehir Stadyumu, Yozgat
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Gurdal O.
Assist: Tosun E.

AI Match Summary

Yozgat in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Yozgat
20%
Draws
50%
Karadeniz Eregli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karadeniz Eregli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yozgat lately — more wins on the board than Karadeniz Eregli.
  • Karadeniz Eregli are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Yozgat have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Karadeniz Eregli, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Yozgat Clean Sheet 20%
Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yozgat Karadeniz Eregli
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.65 1.39
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Karadeniz Eregli vs Yozgat
0:3
Apr 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Yozgat vs Karadeniz Eregli
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Karadeniz Eregli vs Yozgat
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Yozgat vs Karadeniz Eregli
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yozgat Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurdal O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yozgat 24 / 100
Karadeniz Eregli 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yozgat Karadeniz Eregli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karadeniz Eregli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yozgat found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Karadeniz Eregli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Yozgat has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Yozgat VS Karadeniz Eregli
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Yozgat

(Home)
26 Sept
Karakopru
2 : 0
Yozgat
19 Sept
Yozgat
1 : 0
Adana Adaletgucu
12 Sept
Nigde
3 : 1
Yozgat
06 Sept
Yozgat
0 : 4
Kirsehir SK
08 May
52 Orduspor
1 : 0
Yozgat
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Karadeniz Eregli

(Away)
19 Sept
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
0 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
12 Sept
Bulvarspor
0 : 1
Karadeniz Eregli
06 Sept
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 1
Fatsa Bld.
28 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
0 : 3
Yozgat
24 Apr
Yozgat
1 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Corluspor 4
Bursa Yildirimspor 3
Kucukcekmece 2
Etimesgut 1
Erciyes 38 3
Mazidagi 1
Silifke 2
Malatya 4
52 Orduspor 7
Fatsa Bld. 2
Karadeniz Eregli 0
Yozgat 4
Eskisehirspor 4
Balikesirspor 2
Karsiyaka 0
Ayvalikgucu 2
Semi-finals
Corluspor 4
Kucukcekmece 2
Erciyes 38 3
Malatya 4
52 Orduspor 2
Yozgat 1
Eskisehirspor 0
Ayvalikgucu 2
Final
Corluspor 1
Malatya 0
52 Orduspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1