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Yozgat vs Karadeniz Eregli

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 Yozgat Sehir Stadyumu
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Gurdal O.
Assist: Tosun E.

AI Match Summary

Yozgat in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yozgat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Yozgat
6%
Draws
4%
Karadeniz Eregli
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yozgat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Yozgat lately — more wins on the board than Karadeniz Eregli.
  • Yozgat are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Yozgat Clean Sheet 20%
Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yozgat Karadeniz Eregli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Karadeniz Eregli vs Yozgat
0:3
Apr 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Yozgat vs Karadeniz Eregli
1:0
Jan 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Karadeniz Eregli vs Yozgat
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Yozgat vs Karadeniz Eregli
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yozgat Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurdal O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yozgat 85 / 100
Karadeniz Eregli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yozgat Karadeniz Eregli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YOZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yozgat's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Karadeniz Eregli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Yozgat remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yozgat VS Karadeniz Eregli
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Corluspor4
Bursa Yildirimspor3
Kucukcekmece2
Etimesgut1
Erciyes 383
Mazidagi1
Silifke2
Malatya4
52 Orduspor7
Fatsa Bld.2
Karadeniz Eregli0
Yozgat4
Eskisehirspor4
Balikesirspor2
Karsiyaka0
Ayvalikgucu2
Semi-finals
Corluspor4
Kucukcekmece2
Erciyes 383
Malatya4
52 Orduspor2
Yozgat1
Eskisehirspor0
Ayvalikgucu2
Final
Corluspor1
Malatya0
52 Orduspor2
Ayvalikgucu1