Sport Picks

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Ypiranga FC vs Monsoon

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2025 Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa, Erechim
Mon, Feb 24, 2025
2 - 1
10:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Lima J.
53'
Marcos Arthur
60'
Sub
Leo Bahia In: Otavio
Out: Leo Bahia

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ypiranga FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ypiranga FC
30%
Draws
19%
Monsoon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ypiranga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ypiranga FC come out ahead of Monsoon on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ypiranga FC taking it.
  • Ypiranga FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ypiranga FC, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ypiranga FC here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 68%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga FC Monsoon
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 13
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.33 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2025 Gaucho
Ypiranga FC vs Monsoon
2:1
Feb 20, 2025 Gaucho
Monsoon vs Ypiranga FC
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Gaucho
Ypiranga FC vs Monsoon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Roger
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Monsoon Compare

Top Goalscorer Leandro Moura
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga FC 95 / 100
Monsoon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga FC Monsoon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ypiranga FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ypiranga FC found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Monsoon let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Ypiranga FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ypiranga FC VS Monsoon
0.88 Goals Scored 0.83
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga FC

(Home)
29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
09 Aug
Ypiranga FC
4 : 1
Floresta EC
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
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Monsoon

(Away)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Monsoon 2
Ypiranga FC 3
Sao Luiz 2
Guarany de Bage 1
Final
Ypiranga FC 4
Sao Luiz 1