Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ypiranga vs Academica Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ypiranga play Academica Vitoria in the Pernambucano 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ypiranga averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Academica Vitoria averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Ypiranga won 2, Academica Vitoria won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 18, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Ypiranga and 1.10 for Academica Vitoria. This points to a Academica Vitoria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ypiranga
35%
Draws
37%
Academica Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Academica Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Ypiranga picked up more points recently compared to Academica Vitoria.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.10 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Ypiranga Clean Sheet 22%
Academica Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga Academica Vitoria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 14 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.73 1.73
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.83 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga vs Academica Vitoria
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Ypiranga
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Academica Vitoria vs Ypiranga
0:0
Mar 19, 2014 Pernambucano
Ypiranga vs Academica Vitoria
2:0
Feb 23, 2014 Pernambucano
Academica Vitoria vs Ypiranga
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Academica Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Escuro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Daniel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga 30 / 100
Academica Vitoria 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga Academica Vitoria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Academica Vitoria or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ypiranga attacking → ← attacking Academica Vitoria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ypiranga scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Academica Vitoria let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Ypiranga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Academica Vitoria lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 51
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.83 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Academica Vitoria83419:613
2Caruaru83418:713
3CA Porto82516:411
4Aguia FC82156:97
5Ypiranga81433:67
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America PE871025:522
2Centro Limoeirense84229:1314
3Belo Jardim841312:913
4Ipojuca812511:185
5Vera Cruz80266:182