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Ypiranga vs Cabense

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3 2023
Ypiranga Logo

Ypiranga

2 - 1
FT
Cabense Logo

Cabense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 2023 game between Ypiranga and Cabense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ypiranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Ypiranga
35%
Draws
41%
Cabense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cabense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Cabense haven't matched Ypiranga's recent run of results.
  • 24% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ypiranga Clean Sheet 20%
Cabense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga Cabense
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 15 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.11 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga vs Cabense
0:1
Nov 12, 2023 Pernambucano 3
Ypiranga vs Cabense
2:1
Feb 20, 2011 Pernambucano
Cabense vs Ypiranga
2:0
Feb 10, 2011 Pernambucano
Ypiranga vs Cabense
1:0
Feb 28, 2010 Pernambucano
Cabense vs Ypiranga
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga 31 / 100
Cabense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga Cabense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ypiranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Ypiranga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ypiranga scored in 54% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

Ypiranga VS Cabense
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.57
38% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga

(Home)
18 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 2
Academica Vitoria
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
20 Sept
Academica Vitoria
0 : 0
Ypiranga
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Cabense

(Away)
15 Sept
Decisao
3 : 1
Cabense
07 Sept
Cabense
1 : 1
Decisao
31 Aug
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Cabense
24 Aug
Jaguar
3 : 2
Cabense
17 Aug
Cabense
1 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Ipojuca 6 4 1 1 13:2 13
3 Cabense 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
4 Santa Fe PE 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
5 Barreiros FC 6 1 2 3 4:13 5
6 Serrano PE 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
7 Aguia FC 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)