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Ypiranga vs Caruaru - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2021
Ypiranga Logo

Ypiranga

1 - 1
FT
Caruaru Logo

Caruaru

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2021 game between Ypiranga and Caruaru finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ypiranga
35%
Draws
43%
Caruaru
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caruaru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ypiranga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Ypiranga Clean Sheet 20%
Caruaru Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga Caruaru
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga vs Caruaru
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Caruaru vs Ypiranga
1:0
Oct 24, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga vs Caruaru
1:1
Oct 12, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga vs Caruaru
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga 36 / 100
Caruaru 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga Caruaru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caruaru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caruaru has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Ypiranga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ypiranga scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ypiranga VS Caruaru
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga

(Home)
18 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 2
Academica Vitoria
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
20 Sept
Academica Vitoria
0 : 0
Ypiranga
Page 1 of 7

Caruaru

(Away)
26 Oct
America PE
2 : 1
Caruaru
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
Academica Vitoria
1 : 1
Caruaru
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caruaru 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 America PE 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Ypiranga 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
4 Ipojuca 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2021 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petrolina 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Ibis Sport Club 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 1º de Maio 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
4 Atletico PE 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2021 (Third stage)