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Ypiranga vs Caruaru - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga Logo

Ypiranga

1 - 1
FT
Caruaru Logo

Caruaru

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Jeffinho
60' Event
Soares de Oliveira J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 game between Ypiranga and Caruaru finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ypiranga
35%
Draws
43%
Caruaru
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Caruaru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ypiranga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Ypiranga Clean Sheet 22%
Caruaru Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga Caruaru
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.9 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga vs Caruaru
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Pernambucano 2
Caruaru vs Ypiranga
1:0
Oct 24, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga vs Caruaru
1:1
Oct 12, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Ypiranga vs Caruaru
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares de Oliveira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Caruaru Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeffinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga 37 / 100
Caruaru 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga Caruaru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caruaru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caruaru's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

Ypiranga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ypiranga scored in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ypiranga VS Caruaru
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga

(Home)
18 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 2
Academica Vitoria
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
20 Sept
Academica Vitoria
0 : 0
Ypiranga
Page 1 of 7

Caruaru

(Away)
26 Oct
America PE
2 : 1
Caruaru
18 Oct
Caruaru
2 : 1
Aguia FC
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
Academica Vitoria
1 : 1
Caruaru
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Vitoria 8 3 4 1 9:6 13
2 Caruaru 8 3 4 1 8:7 13
3 CA Porto 8 2 5 1 6:4 11
4 Aguia FC 8 2 1 5 6:9 7
5 Ypiranga 8 1 4 3 3:6 7
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America PE 8 7 1 0 25:5 22
2 Centro Limoeirense 8 4 2 2 9:13 14
3 Belo Jardim 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
4 Ipojuca 8 1 2 5 11:18 5
5 Vera Cruz 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 (Play Offs)