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Ypiranga vs Santa Fe PE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 3 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 3 2023 game between Ypiranga and Santa Fe PE finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ypiranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ypiranga
35%
Draws
37%
Santa Fe PE
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Fe PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Ypiranga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Pernambucano 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Ypiranga Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Fe PE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga Santa Fe PE
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 11 2
Draws 10 3
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.9 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2023 Pernambucano 3
Ypiranga vs Santa Fe PE
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga 31 / 100
Santa Fe PE 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga Santa Fe PE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ypiranga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe PE has conceded goals in 91% of their last 11 outings.

Recent resilience: Ypiranga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Santa Fe PE registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ypiranga scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ypiranga VS Santa Fe PE
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ypiranga

(Home)
18 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 2
Academica Vitoria
11 Oct
Aguia FC
2 : 0
Ypiranga
08 Oct
Ypiranga
1 : 1
Caruaru
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
20 Sept
Academica Vitoria
0 : 0
Ypiranga
Page 1 of 6

Santa Fe PE

(Away)
25 Nov
Ypiranga
1 : 0
Santa Fe PE
18 Nov
Santa Fe PE
0 : 3
Ipojuca
11 Nov
Barreiros FC
1 : 1
Santa Fe PE
28 Oct
Santa Fe PE
3 : 1
Aguia FC
20 Oct
Cabense
3 : 1
Santa Fe PE
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ypiranga 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Ipojuca 6 4 1 1 13:2 13
3 Cabense 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
4 Santa Fe PE 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
5 Barreiros FC 6 1 2 3 4:13 5
6 Serrano PE 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
7 Aguia FC 6 1 0 5 3:10 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2024 (Main)