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Ytterhogdal vs Korsnas

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mwangala R.
30' Event
Johansson K.
85' Event
Holder A.

AI Match Summary

Korsnas in this Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korsnas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ytterhogdal
15%
Draws
34%
Korsnas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ytterhogdal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ytterhogdal average 1.17 goals a game right now, well clear of Korsnas's 1.13.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ytterhogdal taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ytterhogdal Clean Sheet 20%
Korsnas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ytterhogdal Korsnas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.13 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Ytterhogdal vs Korsnas
1:2
Jun 6, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Korsnas vs Ytterhogdal
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ytterhogdal Compare

Top Goalscorer Holder A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Korsnas Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwangala R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johansson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ytterhogdal 40 / 100
Korsnas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ytterhogdal Korsnas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ytterhogdal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korsnas let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Korsnas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Ytterhogdal's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Korsnas
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ytterhogdal

(Home)
18 Oct
IK Franke
4 : 3
Ytterhogdal
11 Oct
Ytterhogdal
5 : 4
Nacka FC
04 Oct
Osteraker IFK
1 : 2
Ytterhogdal
27 Sept
Ytterhogdal
1 : 2
Korsnas
20 Sept
Sunnersta AIF
4 : 2
Ytterhogdal
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Korsnas

(Away)
26 Sept
Viggbyholms
2 : 4
Korsnas
19 Sept
Korsnas
0 : 3
Lidingo IFK
13 Sept
Skiljebo
2 : 1
Korsnas
05 Sept
Korsnas
0 : 2
Kungsangen
30 Aug
Angby
2 : 2
Korsnas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Jarfalla 26 19 4 3 60:19 61
2 Falu BS 26 16 7 3 53:24 55
3 Bollstanas 26 14 5 7 57:36 47
4 Sunnersta AIF 26 13 6 7 56:40 45
5 Viggbyholms 26 13 6 7 53:43 45
6 Nacka FC 26 13 3 10 65:45 42
7 IK Franke 26 10 8 8 49:46 38
8 Taby FK 26 10 4 12 55:47 34
9 Kungsangen 26 9 6 11 37:36 33
10 Skiljebo 26 8 7 11 43:52 31
11 Korsnas 26 8 7 11 40:57 31
12 Gute 26 6 4 16 39:55 22
13 Ytterhogdal 26 4 2 20 28:90 14
14 Osteraker IFK 26 2 5 19 28:73 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 (Relegation)