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Yverdon W vs Thun W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains
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Match Events

11' Event
Schmid C.
61' Event
Stefanova S.

AI Match Summary

The Super League Women 2025/2026 game between Yverdon W and Thun W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thun W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Yverdon W
20%
Draws
51%
Thun W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thun W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Yverdon W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Yverdon W Clean Sheet 10%
Thun W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yverdon W Thun W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.55 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.62 1.97
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League Women
Yverdon W vs Thun W
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 Super League Women
Thun W vs Yverdon W
2:4
May 17, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Yverdon W
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 Super League Women
Yverdon W vs Thun W
2:4
May 27, 2023 Super League Women
Thun W vs Yverdon W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yverdon W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Thun W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmid C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stefanova S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yverdon W 34 / 100
Thun W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yverdon W Thun W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thun W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Thun W conceded in 94% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Yverdon W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Yverdon W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yverdon W VS Thun W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.43
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Yverdon W

(Home)
18 Sept
Luzern W
3 : 3
Yverdon W
13 Sept
Yverdon W
4 : 1
Aarau W
09 Sept
Servette W
3 : 2
Yverdon W
06 Sept
Young Boys W
1 : 1
Yverdon W
29 Aug
Yverdon W
1 : 2
Grasshopper W
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Thun W

(Away)
30 May
Sion W
1 : 6
Thun W
23 May
Thun W
1 : 4
Luzern W
17 May
Yverdon W
0 : 2
Thun W
09 May
Thun W
4 : 1
Sion W
02 May
Luzern W
1 : 0
Thun W
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