Sport Picks

Malta

Premier League 2025/2026 Ta'Qali National Stadium

Zabbar

5 - 3

Mosta FC

Our Tip

Match Events

Emmanuel P.

13'

Figueiredo B.

15'

Portelli N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zabbar in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zabbar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Zabbar

28%

Draws

22%

Mosta FC

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Zabbar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Not much separates Zabbar and Mosta FC on recent form.
50% — that's where the model lands on Zabbar taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Zabbar Clean Sheet 68%

Mosta FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zabbar	Mosta FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	8
Draws	10	7
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	1.63	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.75	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Premier League

Mosta FC vs Zabbar

Possession: 60% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Mar 7, 2026 Premier League

Zabbar vs Mosta FC

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

5:3

Dec 12, 2025 Premier League

Mosta FC vs Zabbar

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Oct 24, 2025 Premier League

Mosta FC vs Zabbar

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly

Mosta FC vs Zabbar

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zabbar Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueiredo B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gambarte B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Mosta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmanuel P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Portelli N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zabbar 59 / 100

Mosta FC 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zabbar Mosta FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mosta FC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Zabbar scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Zabbar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zabbar VS Mosta FC

1.63 Goals Scored 1.63

1.75 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Floriana	11	7	4	0	20:7	25
2	Hamrun	11	6	4	1	16:4	22
3	Marsaxlokk	11	5	4	2	12:12	19
4	Naxxar Lions	11	5	3	3	20:18	18
5	Valletta	11	4	5	2	16:7	17
6	Gzira	11	5	2	4	14:12	17
7	Sliema	11	4	4	3	10:11	16
8	Birkirkara	11	3	4	4	12:12	13
9	Hibernians	11	3	2	6	11:17	11
10	Zabbar	11	2	4	5	13:15	10
11	Tarxien	11	1	3	7	9:21	6
12	Mosta FC	11	1	1	9	7:24	4