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Zabbar vs Msida

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2023/2024
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Match Events

38' Event
Gambarte B.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2023/2024 game between Zabbar and Msida finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zabbar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zabbar
35%
Draws
19%
Msida
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zabbar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zabbar come out ahead of Msida on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Zabbar taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zabbar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Zabbar Clean Sheet 68%
Msida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zabbar Msida
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 9 2
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2024 Challenge League
Zabbar vs Msida
1:0
Nov 29, 2014 FA Trophy
Msida vs Zabbar
1:2
May 6, 2005 Premier League
Zabbar vs Msida
4:2
Apr 9, 2005 Premier League
Msida vs Zabbar
3:0
Jan 23, 2005 Premier League
Zabbar vs Msida
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zabbar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gambarte B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Msida Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zabbar 95 / 100
Msida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zabbar Msida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zabbar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Msida has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Zabbar's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Zabbar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zabbar VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zabbar

(Home)
18 Sept
Zabbar
0 : 2
Birkirkara
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0
Zabbar
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2
Hamrun
28 Aug
Hibernians
1 : 1
Zabbar
22 Aug
Zabbar
1 : 0
Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 7

Msida

(Away)
26 Apr
Msida
1 : 1
Attard
21 Apr
Msida
2 : 2
Fgura
14 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 1
Msida
07 Apr
Msida
1 : 3
St. Andrews
17 Mar
Zebbug
6 : 0
Msida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zabbar 15 10 3 2 21:9 33
2 Melita 15 9 4 2 32:21 31
3 Senglea 15 8 5 2 20:9 29
4 Marsa 15 8 4 3 32:17 28
5 Pieta 15 8 3 4 23:13 27
6 Zurrieq 15 8 3 4 18:17 27
7 Fgura 15 8 2 5 32:25 26
8 Lija 15 6 4 5 26:24 22
9 Swieqi 15 5 6 4 18:16 21
10 Tarxien 15 3 8 4 16:14 17
11 Zejtun 15 4 5 6 17:18 17
12 Luqa 15 4 4 7 21:24 16
13 St. Andrews 15 3 2 10 14:28 11
14 Zebbug 15 2 4 9 11:27 10
15 Attard 15 1 5 9 14:33 8
16 Msida 15 2 0 13 9:29 6
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)