Sport Picks
Match Events
56'
56'
Cassar S.
64'
64'
Fontanella M.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Xewkija
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Xewkija have won more games recently than Zabbar.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Zabbar taking it.
- Xewkija arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Zabbar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Zabbar Clean Sheet 12%
Xewkija Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zabbar | Xewkija |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 2.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.65 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 4, 2026 FA Trophy
Zabbar vs Xewkija
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zabbar Compare
Top Goalscorer Fontanella M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82
Xewkija Compare
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zabbar 40 / 100
Xewkija 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zabbar Xewkija
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zabbar scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Xewkija let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Zabbar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Zabbar VS Xewkija
1.63 Goals Scored 1.67
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Zabbar
(Home) 28 Aug
Hibernians
1 : 1 Zabbar
22 Aug
Zabbar
1 : 0 Birzebbuga
16 Aug
Valletta
4 : 2 Zabbar
25 Jul
Marsaxlokk
0 : 0 Zabbar
18 Jul
Birkirkara
2 : 1 Zabbar
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Zabbar
1 : 0 Birzebbuga
10 May
Zabbar
2 : 0 Tarxien
05 May
Zabbar
2 : 3 Tarxien
30 Apr
Zabbar
3 : 0 Hibernians
26 Apr
Zabbar
1 : 1 Sliema
Page 1 of 3
Xewkija
(Away) 25 Apr
Melita
3 : 1 Xewkija
19 Mar
Gudja
2 : 3 Xewkija
01 Mar
Xewkija
1 : 0 Nadur
04 Jan
Zabbar
1 : 0 Xewkija
06 Dec
Melita
0 : 1 Xewkija
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Melita
3 : 1 Xewkija
19 Mar
Gudja
2 : 3 Xewkija
04 Jan
Zabbar
1 : 0 Xewkija
06 Dec
Melita
0 : 1 Xewkija
12 Jan
Floriana
2 : 0 Xewkija
Page 1 of 5
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1
