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Zacapa vs Antigua Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio David Ordoñez Bardales, Zacapa
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Macareno K.
47' Event
Macareno K.
58'
Sub
Buenafe M. In: Polanco C.
Out: Buenafe M.

AI Match Summary

Antigua in this Liga Nacional 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Antigua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Zacapa
15%
Draws
76%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

9% / Low Confidence
  • Zacapa haven't matched Antigua's recent run of results.
  • 9% — that's where the model lands on Zacapa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 68%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacapa Antigua
Matches Played 14 35
Wins 0 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.36 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Antigua
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Zacapa
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Antigua
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Zacapa
3:0
Mar 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Antigua
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zacapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Antigua Compare

Top Goalscorer Macareno K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacapa 59 / 100
Antigua 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacapa Antigua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zacapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

Zacapa's goal record stands at 29% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Zacapa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Antigua
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacapa

(Home)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
Page 1 of 3

Antigua

(Away)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xelaju 16 8 6 2 26:9 30
2 Municipal 16 8 6 2 25:15 30
3 Malacateco 16 7 4 5 19:13 25
4 Deportivo Mixco 16 6 4 6 15:19 22
5 Deportivo Achuapa 16 5 6 5 15:17 21
6 Marquense 16 2 6 8 11:26 12
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coban Imperial 16 7 4 5 25:16 25
2 Xinabajul 16 7 4 5 26:24 25
3 Comunicaciones 16 7 3 6 24:23 24
4 Antigua 16 6 5 5 27:24 23
5 Guastatoya 16 2 8 6 15:19 14
6 Zacapa 16 0 6 10 5:28 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Apertura - Play Offs)