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Zacapa vs Antigua

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio David Ordoñez Bardales, Zacapa
Sat, Apr 12, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zacapa host Antigua in the Liga Nacional 2024/2025. This has Antigua written all over it on paper. Zacapa have averaged 0.36 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Antigua's 1.85 scored and 1.26 conceded. Head-to-head, Zacapa have won 0 to Antigua's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 1.24) back Antigua to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Zacapa
15%
Draws
76%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Antigua come out ahead of Zacapa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Zacapa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Zacapa Clean Sheet 19%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacapa Antigua
Matches Played 14 34
Wins 0 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.36 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Antigua
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Zacapa
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Antigua
1:2
Sep 1, 2024 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Zacapa
3:0
Mar 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
Zacapa vs Antigua
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacapa 42 / 100
Antigua 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacapa Antigua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Antigua has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Zacapa scored in 29% of their last 14 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Solid form: Zacapa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Antigua
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacapa

(Home)
24 Nov
Zacapa
1 : 2
Antigua
21 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 1
Deportivo Mixco
10 Nov
Coban Imperial
3 : 1
Zacapa
03 Nov
Zacapa
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
27 Oct
Xinabajul
2 : 0
Zacapa
Page 1 of 3

Antigua

(Away)
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
30 Aug
Deportivo San Pedro
4 : 3
Antigua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)